{"id":4775,"date":"2017-06-14T09:00:07","date_gmt":"2017-06-14T09:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/?p=4775"},"modified":"2017-06-14T09:00:07","modified_gmt":"2017-06-14T09:00:07","slug":"growth-profit-consequences-tech-layoffs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/growth-profit-consequences-tech-layoffs\/","title":{"rendered":"Growth, Profit, and Consequences: What founders should know about the rise in tech layoffs and what we\u2019re doing to prevent them here"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Founders have big dreams when they start a company. They dream of changing the world and creating jobs. They dream of building a fast-growing enterprise used by millions or, in some cases, billions. They don\u2019t, however, dream of laying people off. But unfortunately, that happens all too often.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">In the past year, a number of companies I admire\u2014including Moz, Treehouse, and Buffer\u2014have had to make layoffs. Hoping to shed light on the issue, those companies chose to be open about their cuts and published articles <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/moz.com\/blog\/moz-is-doubling-down-on-search\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@ryancarson\/strengthening-our-foundation-d76b707ceaa0#.cug71hhfh\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">, and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/open.buffer.com\/layoffs-and-moving-forward\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">here<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> about their struggles. Three businesses making layoffs may not seem like a big deal, but they represent only a small portion of the layoffs that <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/tech-layoffs-doubled-in-bay-area-but-real-number-could-be-higher-2016-5\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">happened last year<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">. And with most layoffs going unannounced, the truth is we still have only a small glimpse of how widespread the problem really is. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">At Magoosh, a startup based in the Bay Area, we\u2019re vastly aware of the uptick in layoffs happening around us. But rather than shutting our eyes and waiting to see what happens, we\u2019ve made it a priority to understand why cuts happen and actively work to avoid them. Taking a cue from Moz, Treehouse, Buffer, and others who have written on the subject, I\u2019d like to share our own thoughts on layoffs: what we\u2019ve learned about why they happen, how we approach risk-taking at Magoosh as a result, and how we implemented our own layoff-preventing practices. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">By having more open conversations about layoffs, it&#8217;s my hope that we can promote more understanding around them and collectively start making better business decisions at the intersection of risk-taking, growth, and hiring.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-1-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"200\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-4781\" srcset=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-1-1.png 600w, https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-1-1-300x100.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Layoffs can happen for a number of reasons. Every company is different, after all. So, let\u2019s focus on one prevalent reason that has widely affected companies in the tech space.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Startups, especially Silicon Valley venture-backed startups, are encouraged to chase growth. Growth can take the form of more users, more revenue, or more of something else. \u00a0The hope is that high growth (often unprofitable growth) will lead to more funding which will lead to more growth and so on. At some point the company, usually after it has a very large user base, will focus on profit with the thought that high growth at first could lead to more long-term profit. But there\u2019s a natural tension between growth (i.e. market share) and profit, and it\u2019s a tension that has existed long before the dot-com bubble in the early 2000\u2019s. In fact, the Harvard Business Review published an <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/hbr.org\/1975\/01\/market-share-a-key-to-profitability\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">article<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> on the subject as far back as 1975.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">VC firms have investors who are expecting a 6x return on their investment over a period of 10 years. In order to achieve that level of success, VCs need some of their companies to achieve massive outcomes (100x or higher), given that most of their portfolio companies will fail or return very little. Because of this, VCs are incentivized to invest in startups that aim for big growth\u2014startups that are willing to lose money month-over-month in order to grow the top line faster. \u00a0When founders take VC money, they are implicitly promising they will chase growth, not profit. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Targeting growth (over profit) can be a smart approach for many companies, especially companies in a winner-take-most market. For example, Facebook, Twitter, Snapchat, and the like would not have reached their levels of success if they focused on profit early on. However, most companies are not Facebook, Twitter, or Snapchat. And most companies don\u2019t realize what they\u2019re getting into with the growth-before-profit approach. Too many of these companies\u2014energized by Silicon Valley\u2019s seemingly free-flowing cash and pervasive \u201cgrowth at all costs\u201d message\u2014end up chasing growth (to get that next round of funding), when in reality they should be focused on nailing down their value prop and developing a path to profitability. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">The growth-focused approach can be painful when it doesn\u2019t work\u2014<\/span><b>and for most startups it doesn\u2019t.<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> Every founder anticipates some level of failed experimentation (<\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">\u201cThis product might fail, that\u2019s fine\u201d<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">), but what they don\u2019t usually think through is the <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">people<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> side of the product. In other words, when you raise a lot of money and hire a lot of people to build a product and then it fails, you\u2019re not only faced with dropping a product, you\u2019re faced with laying people off. <\/span><\/p>\n<h5><i>Example: When failed experiments lead to layoffs<\/i><\/h5>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">I\u2019ve looked up to Moz since the early days of Magoosh (2011). I\u2019ve read many blog posts, especially the ones by their founder Rand, on how to approach content marketing and how to approach building a company. \u00a0Moz and Rand have played a big part in Magoosh\u2019s growth and my own growth.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">So, in late 2016, I was sad to learn that Moz was <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/moz.com\/blog\/moz-is-doubling-down-on-search\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">announcing layoffs<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">. From their CEO, Sarah Bird:<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">This is the gut-wrenchingly painful part. The hardest part of my job is asking people who have put their hearts and souls into Moz to part ways. To align the organization with this strategic shift, we will be asking about 28% of Mozzers to leave. They are a part of the Moz family and it is heartbreaking that they will not be working alongside us in the future.<\/span><\/i><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Moz had raised $29M to-date, a small early round, then $18M in 2012 and another $10M in 2016. While I don\u2019t know the specifics, I suspect they raised the $18M round based on the success they had up to that point, and on a big future vision of becoming more than an SEO company\u2014eventually becoming the leading provider of tools for all inbound marketing. This was a big experiment and a big risk. And after four years, they realized the risk didn\u2019t work out the way they hoped, which led to laying off 28% of their staff.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Running a startup is a constant exercise in risk assessment. Sometimes big risks pay off and sometimes, as in Moz\u2019s case, they don\u2019t. \u00a0And the truth is that those layoffs\u2014while difficult\u2014were likely the right decision for Moz in the long-term. Moz\u2019s experience is just one example of what many startups go through. It\u2019s why many layoffs happen and will continue to happen. So, what can companies do? Are layoffs an inevitable consequence of taking risks?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-3-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"200\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-4782\" srcset=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-3-2.png 600w, https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-3-2-300x100.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>At Magoosh, we approach business and risk-taking differently. We raised a small round of capital to get us off the ground at the beginning, and since then we\u2019ve made it a point to spend only the money that we have, using funds from our most-successful product lines to expand into new product lines and markets. It\u2019s made us a stronger company and it\u2019s insulated us from the rising tide of layoffs throughout the Bay Area, while allowing us to still take calculated risks.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">So, what do our business decisions look like in action? Below, I\u2019ve outlined some scenarios that many companies face. Then, I explain how a VC-backed growth-focused company would approach each scenario and compare it to how we would approach that same scenario at Magoosh.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr width=\"50%\"><\/hr>\n<p class=\"borderexample\"><b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Scenario 1: Launching one (or several) new product lines<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Magoosh is an online test prep company, and we periodically add prep products for new exams. For instance, we recently launched an MCAT prep product for aspiring doctors, and we have plans to add more exams in the future. Let\u2019s see how the approach to adding exams differs.<\/p>\n<p><b>VC-backed approach: <\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Identify the exams the company wants to pursue and focus on those that have very large market sizes.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Build a model for the growth trajectory of those exams and determine how much capital is required and do some light validation (e.g. surveys, etc.).<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Launch and build as many exam products as possible, staying within the capital constraint, and hire people to work on those products.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Magoosh approach:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Identify the exams that we want to pursue, focusing not only on those that have a sizeable market, but also those that could quickly be ROI+. <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Validate demand for these exams by building an audience first, before potentially building a product. This validation can take 6-9 months.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Only create products for the exams for which we successfully built an audience.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Tradeoffs:<\/b><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 100\">The VC-backed approach can lead to faster growth since the products are created earlier. If there\u2019s a first-mover advantage, then the benefit of faster growth could be significant, and as we discussed before, faster growth can also help the company raise their next round of funding. However, if many of the new products are not successful, the VC-backed approach could lead to significant lost capital and could result in layoffs for the people hired onto some of the new teams.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr width=\"50%\"><\/hr>\n<p class=\"borderexample\"><b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Scenario 2: \u00a0Developing a new growth channel\u2014outbound sales<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">At Magoosh, we recently decided to experiment with outbound sales. We had seen some indication of market interest based on inbound group purchase requests and believed this channel had more potential. Let\u2019s see how the approach to experimenting with outbound sales could differ:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>VC-backed approach:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Determine the potential of outbound sales and then hire an individual or several individuals to grow revenue, depending on capital available.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Continue pursuing outbound sales for 2-3 years even if it\u2019s losing money, that is as long as there is some positive signal. If it pays off then it could pay off in a big way and grow top-line revenue in the meantime.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Magoosh approach:<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Identify outbound sales as an opportunity and potentially hire a contractor or intern to pursue it rather than hiring someone full-time. <\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">If we decide to hire someone, explicitly let them know that this is an experiment so there\u2019s more risk in this role than there would be in other roles, and look for a more significant positive signal before hiring others onto that team.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Tradeoffs:<\/b><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">If the outbound sales is successful, the VC-backed approach will almost certainly lead to faster growth. And some experiments need time in order to demonstrate a return, so the Magoosh approach of hiring a contractor or intern may not provide enough time to assess whether outbound sales was successful. The Magoosh approach, however, leads to lower capital expenditure and provides more clarity on the uncertainty of the future of the role. The VC-backed approach could lead to layoffs if the new channel is not successful.<\/span><\/p>\n<hr width=\"50%\"><\/hr>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">In both of the scenarios above, the VC-backed approach can lead to faster growth, and if successful, \u00a0is likely better overall. Our company\u2019s approach protects against lost capital and layoffs, meaning it\u2019s better in the failure case (which, in the world of start-up experiments, is the most likely outcome), as it can still lead to profitability. And even though our approach can mean slower growth, we think of it as a long-term approach worth carving out time for. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">For what it\u2019s worth, our approach hasn\u2019t kept Magoosh from attaining high-growth or profitability. We became cash-flow positive in 2012 and continue to grow quickly year-over-year, even achieving a top 100 place on the Inc. 5000 in 2016. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Perhaps, some might say, we could have achieved that more rapidly if we had employed a VC-backed approach to growth, but I believe making time to build a risk model to mitigate the chance of layoffs was the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/what-founders-should-know-before-they-raise-vc\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">right move for us in the long run<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">. And I believe if more VC-backed companies acted as if they were chasing profitability, even if in reality they were chasing growth, they could mitigate their own layoffs because they had at least created some artificial constraints for themselves. Constraints are difficult to abide by, though, so at Magoosh we\u2019ve developed our own framework to keep us on track.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-3-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"200\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-4783\" srcset=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-3-3.png 600w, https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/files\/2017\/06\/Bhavin-article-Q217-3-3-300x100.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Over the years, we\u2019ve developed a framework for how we approach risks, especially as they relate to people. When a manager wants to hire for a new role, we go through the following questions:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">What\u2019s the <\/span><\/i><b><i>expected benefit<\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> of this role? \u00a0Estimate which metrics will move, by how much, and by when.<\/span><\/i><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">\n<p><\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Is the work <\/span><\/i><b><i>experimental<\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> in nature? If yes, what happens if the experiment doesn\u2019t work out?<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">\n<p><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 100\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">What is the <\/span><b>time-frame <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">for this role? What will this person be doing in 6 months, in 1 year, in 2 years? If the person\u2019s work\/project will end or will no longer be a company priority, what will we do? Should we hire a contractor instead?<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">\n<p><\/span><\/i><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">These questions help us understand the expectations and risks associated with each role. We then try to <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/magoosh.com\/blog\/hire-slow-fire-fast-humanely\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">communicate these expectations and risks<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> to each candidate (aligning with our value of Communication &gt; Efficiency). We realize this approach can make it harder to fill positions. Because we\u2019re upfront about the potential risk in our temp and experimental roles\u2014while they may not actually be that risky in reality\u2014people might turn down those roles in favor of full-time positions elsewhere that they perceive as being less risky. We\u2019re comfortable with that trade-off, though. If the experiment doesn\u2019t work out for any reason, we know the person opted into the risk. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Our approach has its own issues. While we try to take risks, our risks are generally smaller than those of the companies that have raised a lot of capital. This means we\u2019re less likely to see the massive 100x successes. For now, it\u2019s a tradeoff we\u2019re comfortable with, as we believe it\u2019s an approach that works best for our company and our team. <\/span><\/p>\n<hr width=\"50%\"><\/hr>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Now that you\u2019ve read all about our approach to risk-taking, layoffs, and hiring, I need to make one thing clear: We\u2019re not so naive to think Magoosh is immune from layoffs. We recognize that for any number of reasons\u2014changes in the market, the end of the GRE as we know it\u2014could lead us to make our own tough cuts. That will always be the reality. But I believe the existence of layoffs\u2014the fact that they will always happen in business\u2014is not a good enough reason <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">not<\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> to take steps to minimize their potential. If we didn\u2019t at least try, we would not be doing right by our employees or our company. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">I\u2019ve shared what we\u2019re doing; now I\u2019d love to hear from you as well. If you\u2019re using other tactics at your company, or disagree with any of those we\u2019re using here, please leave a note for me in the comments. Let\u2019s continue to make this an open discussion, so that we can all\u2014Magoosh included\u2014get better at understanding, preventing, and addressing layoffs. <\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Thanks to <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/ajshankar\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">AJ Shankar<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> (<\/span><\/i><a href=\"http:\/\/everlaw.com\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Everlaw<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">), <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/joelg87\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Joel Gascoigne<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> (<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/buffer.com\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Buffer<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">), <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/tawheed\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Tawheed Kader<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> (<\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www1.toutapp.com\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">ToutApp<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">, now Marketo), <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/andrewcronk\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Andrew Cronk<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> (<\/span><\/i><a href=\"http:\/\/re-factor.co\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Re-factor<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">) and <\/span><\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/greg-mcverry-b129b571\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">Greg McVerry<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\"> (<\/span><\/i><a href=\"http:\/\/reviewtalentfeedback.com\/\"><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">ReVIEW Talent Feedback<\/span><\/i><\/a><i><span style=\"font-weight: 100\">) for reviewing and providing feedback on this article.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr width=\"50%\"><\/hr>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6>Header image designed by <a href=\"http:\/\/markthomas.co\/#\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mark Thomas<\/a><\/h6>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Read to find out how Magoosh maintains a steady workforce in spite of layoffs in the tech industry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"ppma_author":[496],"class_list":["post-4775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-philosophy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v21.7 (Yoast SEO v21.7) - 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